TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x081a…66d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,528
Categories scored
46
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT15948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Mauthausen: Timofey Skatov vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+259.2%+$878.4
Ostrava: Zsombor Piros vs Max Houkesbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$222.44
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.22
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.8
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.19
Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$15
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$714
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Taburbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$487.32
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$591.6
Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.13
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.67
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.8
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.2
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$591.6
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.02
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.17
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.6
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.6
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.25
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$65
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.5
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.9
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.04
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+585.3%+$3,049.69
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$123.22
Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+256.4%+$821.37
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+200.4%+$23.35
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.87
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Dembele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.8
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$49.02
Will Marc Guéhi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$51.53
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.15
Will the announcers say "Corner" 22+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.93
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT14423.6%34 W · 110 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.58
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+564.4%+$86.64
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$55.17
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$86.93
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$17.68
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.75
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT14225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.16
Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.98
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+283.6%+$62.56
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.54
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.91
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.73
Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Lisa Nandy be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.88
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$68.22
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.66
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT11436%41 W · 73 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.81
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.43
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.09
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+296.4%+$30.07
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$4.23
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$107.8
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+400.7%+$1,581.22
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+87%+$127.3
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.7
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$95.8
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.71
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.79
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.21
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.89
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9819.4%19 W · 79 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$46.2
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34.68
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$50.22
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$34.14
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.36
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$144.63
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$96.2
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+83%+$19.96
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$7.28
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39%+$16.43
Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Furia win a Bo5 at MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9backed C9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+756.7%+$107.76
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Will MVK Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$88.96
Will Hanwha Life Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Will KT Rolster qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will JD Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$17
Will Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$230.45
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$105.05
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.37
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.46
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT5731.6%18 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.17
Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.32
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$16.77
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.59
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+113.6%+$2,789.63
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.33
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT5330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+300.3%+$62.47
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.44
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$54.93
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+468.2%+$332.89
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.86
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.62
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+263.8%+$47.26
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will Cameron Boozer be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.41
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.52
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.95
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.05
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.6
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$489.6
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.2
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5036%18 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$38.44
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$127.73
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$27.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$101.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.07
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79.79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.51
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 16?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CJ Abrams record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+193%+$55.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.4
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.06
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$459
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$438.6
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$113.94
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$428.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$436.77
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$428.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.4
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$459
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.49
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$459
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$510
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$469.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.2
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$510
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.57
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,050.6
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.18
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT4626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.4
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$34.48
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.6
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.11
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.49
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$11.36
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be less than $16B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Daybacked Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$33.3
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$17.54
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.75
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$21.18
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$49.4
Will Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.09
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will GMR Solutions' market cap be less than $4.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$18.52
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.09
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $5.5B and $7.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$20.88
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$19.53
Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.61
Will FURIA make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+209.2%+$115.62
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.96
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$489.6
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$489.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$132
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$187
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+239%+$775.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$165
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$264
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$57.34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$83.67
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.77
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.6
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$98.77
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+446.4%+$127.2
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$47.22
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+106%+$123.55
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+259.1%+$42.35
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.83
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.95
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+335.2%+$153.89
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+272.2%+$113.35
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+73%+$113.96
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$68.61
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.39
Will SaD Esports Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Nightblood Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Team Heretics be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$30.18
Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$48.86
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$238
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$100.28
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.86
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$143
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.5
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$655.98
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$418
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$221
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$59.26
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$231
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Valorant: TEC Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.32
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-71.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.29
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$11.5
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.65
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$44.26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$11.61
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+128%+$19.65
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.27
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+900.1%+$90.9
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+322.8%+$59.36
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$14.71
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$91.31
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$80.72
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$20.2
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+482.9%+$64.11
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+940.8%+$163.77
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$23.81
Will President Trump sign 7 pieces of legislation into law in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will President Trump sign less than 5 pieces of legislation into law in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+328.1%+$117.87
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$124.85
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56%+$21.54
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Bill Clinton say "Pam" or "Bondi" during his Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$699.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$263.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.2%+$385
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+64.3%+$124
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+169%+$2,572.83
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,238.75
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,147.32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,235.62
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$16.07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.7%+$439.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$449.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.15
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$18.64
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$14.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$97.07
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.84
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.4
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.04
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.2
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$230.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$924.18
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$459
All 16 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.8
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$131.84
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.47
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$75.6
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$63.19
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.37
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.9
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$1,829.97
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.03
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.72
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$499.8
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.8
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.2
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.6
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$75.65
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$609
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$584.25
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$627
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$560
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$192.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$152.46
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+210.3%+$94.83
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$104.99
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.4
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.47
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.46
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$479.4
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$469.2
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.4
Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$190.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 9: Francis vs. Sosa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Francis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Ray J · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+360.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+360.6%+$120.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.