Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a975f6f87ea084a940cb3ae5078edc02163eda9db8961f440bd00588172fad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,157$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…ab86backed No | 70c | 1,971$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed Yes | 29c | 1,334$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.51 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…66afbacked Yes | 15c | 1,179$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed Yes | 29c | 877.47$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 8c | 779.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 35c | 739.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 673.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c3…8a32backed Yes | 14c | 663.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 654.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 4c | 647$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 27c | 621.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x963b…0b7bbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 482.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 34c | 466.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…25d5backed No | 70c | 435.29$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…6232backed Yes | 40c | 429.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 413.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 68c | 400$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 334.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 28c | 332.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 34c | 253$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 62c | 252.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 62c | 236.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked No | 66c | 225.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 76c | 199.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 31c | 197.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 63c | 187.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…4cccbacked No | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 171$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 11c | 169.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…7180backed Yes | 19c | 167.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 36c | 164.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed No | 70c | 142.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…0f43backed No | 71c | 140.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9b7ebacked No | 71c | 140.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…9a9fbacked No | 80c | 125.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…e784backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…0800backed No | 70c | 109.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 61c | 103.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…ef76backed Yes | 14c | 101.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…97cebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…10adbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…a714backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 99.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 91.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 32c | 91.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 68c | 86.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed No | 79c | 83.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 30c | 81.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…25d5backed No | 60c | 78.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…3ed5backed No | 69c | 69.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ed…ac9cbacked No | 77c | 65.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…3499backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…85a1backed No | 69c | 58.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…b2edbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…be02backed Yes | 23c | 55.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…0d2fbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…7e9cbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 24c | 46.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 28c | 45.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…5c64backed Yes | 30c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…7092backed Yes | 29c | 35.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…df8fbacked No | 64c | 31.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d26…2526backed Yes | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…f070backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 75c | 22.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 71c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…810cbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…e602backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…a41ebacked No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?this page
- Will NVIDIA dip to $116 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $228 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $260 in March?No won
- Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.