TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf68d…810c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 51 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$6.92
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$10.77
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$7.52
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$3.25
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.42
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$6.16
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$7.35
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$7.75
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.