Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2530cb5ad3459b1e1cc7bfb333290d7f82143ae4c12780c97a69f3597975c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 36,699$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.07 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 10,699$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.46 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Team Liquid | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 9,744$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 79c | 5,751$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.4 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid | 77c | 5,715$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.35 | 397 | 70.3%279 W · 118 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 5,165$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 4,750$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.71 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 4,386$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.77 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 4,240$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.79 | 356 | 34.8%124 W · 232 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 3,805$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.08 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 3,548$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.88 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 3,346$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.2 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 79c | 3,333$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.93 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid | 77c | 2,987$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.82 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 2,759$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.46 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 2,584$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 2,392$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 2,004$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 1,593$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 1,538$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 39.7%152 W · 231 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,477$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.41 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 1,450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 1,212$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…bcc2backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,041$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 1,001$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 1,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 959.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 912$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 877.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 865.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 761.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Team Liquid | 78c | 746.15$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 673.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Team Liquid | 77c | 647.81$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Liquid | 77c | 644.65$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Liquid | 74c | 622$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 612$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 611.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 607.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 599.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 582$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 471.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 460$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Team Liquid | 77c | 459.03$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 452.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 425.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 408$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 406.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 383.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 378.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 330$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 294.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 275$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Team Liquid | 78c | 248$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 230$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Team Liquid | 78c | 214.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 406 | 69.7%283 W · 123 L | +34.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 211.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…4b50backed Shopify Rebellion | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 193.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 80c | 174.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Team Liquid | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Team Liquid | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 169.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…30fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 161.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 154.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Team Liquid | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…fa22backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 146.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 143.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 75c | 141.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 40.2%100 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 136$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 130.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 125.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…5047backed Team Liquid | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 188 | 31.4%59 W · 129 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Team Liquid | 78c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 110.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Team Liquid | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.