TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b72…6dbe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,405
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT66116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 661 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+601.3%+$364.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.52
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.07
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Showing 25 of 661 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT22846.1%105 W · 123 L+22.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+225.3%+$1,239.56
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.92
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.68
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$306.25
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+146%+$166.25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$243.25
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$181.54
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$315.93
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$342.58
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$232.37
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+1,048.8%+$211.4
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.64
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$9.34
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.27
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$238.57
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$364.55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.63
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.74
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$16.64
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$85.64
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$530.35
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.61
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$129.3
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$419.68
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+120.2%+$302.97
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118.8
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.27
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$109.64
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.6%+$105.99
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+792.8%+$403.06
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+134.4%+$379.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,150%+$276
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$134.6
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.73
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$166
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT7231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.33
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$543.28
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$126.54
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.06
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.39
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.45
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+398.8%+$327.55
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$386.55
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$122.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$175.08
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$128.01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.42
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$314
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$178
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.69
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$428.18
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$242.3
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$516.42
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+238.2%+$1,044.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.81
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$35.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will FURIA win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$111.98
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.6%+$42.05
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+74.3%+$93.18
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43.1%+$31.02
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$107.5
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.98
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.85
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+592.1%+$1,147.31
Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+401.4%+$272.13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.3
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.97
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$216
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72.58
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$345.84
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+52.2%+$151
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+45.1%+$155.31
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.81
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$143.95
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+189.9%+$131
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+342.4%+$149.06
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+329.9%+$537.17
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.83
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$71.78
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.58
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$246
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+91.6%+$119.5
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.61
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+34%+$127
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+102%+$101
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.84
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.51
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+123.6%+$100.1
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$22.46
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Powell say "Meeting" 9+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.17
Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.32
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.64
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 10+ times during the FED board meeting on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will anyone say "Gold" during the FED board meeting on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$27.69
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+232%+$212.98
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89%+$478.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$1,430.69
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.6
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.5%+$77.46
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232.8
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+154.8%+$149.26
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$14.81
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+148.5%+$555.87
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.13
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62.07
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$49.34
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$197.95
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$29.9
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+130%+$56.67
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$51.3
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$42.2
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$37.1
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+97.8%+$44.84
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.05
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.7
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.15
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$57.6
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.95
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$130.08
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$14.16
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.06
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$236.14
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.98
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$170.67
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$646.05
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$188
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$182.04
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.64
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.65
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$54.3
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.32
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 5+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$58.16
Will Sam Altman say "GPT" 7+ times during TBPN appearance on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$30.64
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$58.3
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.29
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$51.19
Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$56.69
Will anyone say "Roadmap" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Will anyone say "Deep Research" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.24
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.94
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+201.2%+$66.8
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.07
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$62.96
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.34
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$44.2
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+517.3%+$67.04
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+141.7%+$20.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+97.8%+$113.7
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.1%+$113.66
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$158.35
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+45.9%+$51.84
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+102.6%+$83.55
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.31
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$6.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,756.6
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+361.5%+$376.48
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.01
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$224.1
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$355.62
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$972.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+86.2%+$46.29
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.56
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Will Snowflake say "AWS" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.44
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+149.8%+$182.38
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+164.1%+$256.71
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Will NVIDIA say "Self Driving" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+82%+$49.77
Will NVIDIA say "TSMC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+45.9%+$49.35
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$11.7
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.31
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$9.68
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$16.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.75
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.33
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+131%+$198.5
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will the announcers say "Scare" or "Scared" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$110.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick28cpaid+177.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.83
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+337%+$1,177.59
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+336.4%+$888.74
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$171.09
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+380.1%+$182.36
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+349%+$210
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+304.7%+$105.71
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$55.14
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosabacked Jessica Hinojosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.16
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.06
Palermo: Lina Gjorcheska vs Erika Andreevabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.09
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$135
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$58.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$184.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.