Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303f1601b482702c0b330a3e7805c9179f06157c690cf97ca55ac2b45af7de53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $912,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $912,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 41c | 499,219$202,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,834.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 61c | 233,486$143,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,135.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 59c | 143,190$85,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,151.67 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 85,304$50,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,319.46 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 69c | 22,221$15,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,342.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 18,962$8,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,777.56 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 65c | 17,383$11,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 17,026$10,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 60c | 16,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 15,193$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 21c | 13,900$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,982.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 63c | 12,563$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 60c | 12,514$7,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked No | 29c | 9,233$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked No | 27c | 8,928$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Yes | 80c | 8,008$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 22c | 7,399$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 7,017$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 51c | 6,445$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 22c | 6,063$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 23c | 5,731$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 5,560$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.33 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Yes | 73c | 5,388$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ba…f6a2backed Yes | 71c | 5,176$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 76c | 4,734$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 4,100$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 3,936$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.36 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 79c | 3,893$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,849$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 3,817$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 77c | 3,731$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,273$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.1 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed No | 17c | 3,241$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +367.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 23c | 3,129$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed No | 22c | 3,089$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,058$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 3,017$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…01fabacked Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 37c | 2,558$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 2,552$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 45c | 2,420$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…7ce7backed Yes | 64c | 2,309$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Yes | 73c | 2,284$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed No | 25c | 2,254$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +296.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 47c | 2,249$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…0934backed No | 26c | 2,055$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 68c | 2,020$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 19c | 2,003$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +408.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…ab91backed No | 19c | 2,001$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +440.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Yes | 34c | 1,913$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 18c | 1,820$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 6c | 1,682$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…d342backed Yes | 76c | 1,427$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…e4fabacked Yes | 74c | 1,406$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 49c | 1,394$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Yes | 78c | 1,337$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.71 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 47c | 1,272$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 73c | 1,234$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 72c | 1,229$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 60c | 1,145$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Yes | 53c | 1,144$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,132$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.71 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 67c | 1,077$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.46 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 1,067$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 75c | 1,055$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 23c | 1,051$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 73c | 1,043$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 77c | 1,009$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 29c | 979.52$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 21c | 955.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 39c | 900.49$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 884.51$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.39 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 882.54$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 55c | 882.02$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 45c | 856.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.66 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 59c | 823.38$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 18c | 821.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +350.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 782.11$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 69c | 753.13$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked No | 22c | 731.69$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed No | 44c | 708$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 18c | 674.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 634.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 63c | 622.66$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 600.65$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 41c | 554.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 59c | 533.53$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed No | 19c | 530.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.74 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.