TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d79…33e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-57.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.16
Will Algeria finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.9
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$436.42
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,118.28
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$918.95
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: Chile (-2.5)backed Chile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+164.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$115.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesexbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Botswana vs Malawibacked Malawi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$91.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$39.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.