Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1363efbf76899943f61797d0ffc2de5c47a716e2ec66189f45ab65b28078f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 19c | 15,411$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.27 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked No | 63c | 13,834$8,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 16c | 13,714$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.32 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 14c | 12,431$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.83 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 72c | 11,226$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.78 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 23c | 9,012$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.92 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 21c | 8,373$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.65 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…9404backed Yes | 45c | 8,300$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 74c | 8,289$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 42c | 8,220$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.26 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…ed4fbacked Yes | 26c | 7,754$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…0538backed No | 79c | 6,642$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 76c | 6,606$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.19 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 54c | 5,969$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 25c | 5,704$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.67 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 30c | 5,347$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 69c | 5,106$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.3 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…d176backed Yes | 7c | 4,729$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 20c | 4,554$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.02 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 45c | 4,486$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.05 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed Yes | 34c | 4,432$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.98 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,375$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked Yes | 30c | 4,221$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.54 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed No | 59c | 3,480$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.65 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed Yes | 21c | 3,400$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 70c | 3,248$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.24 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,231$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.21 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 30c | 3,168$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 42c | 3,155$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.33 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes | 24c | 3,090$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.01 | 114 | 32.5%37 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,960$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.06 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…534bbacked No | 72c | 2,635$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d19…fb97backed Yes | 30c | 2,610$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.93 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 30c | 2,528$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.11 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,435$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,355$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 6c | 2,239$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 33c | 2,219$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.32 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 75c | 2,121$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 50c | 2,097$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.7 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes | 29c | 2,067$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 23cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 32c | 2,066$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 1,911$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.14 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked No | 79c | 1,886$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +12.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,782$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed Yes | 10c | 1,644$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…62a5backed No | 66c | 1,611$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 32c | 1,572$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.02 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 1,563$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 47c | 1,484$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.77 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,439$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.29 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,376$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…d691backed No | 70c | 1,273$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…2599backed Yes | 24c | 1,239$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…e82fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,201$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,150$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.22 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…aa43backed Yes | 7c | 1,130$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…1120backed Yes | 2c | 1,117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 69c | 1,037$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…724abacked Yes | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b9…7126backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 23c | 999.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 986.2$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a3…e75fbacked No | 55c | 958.96$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 16c | 913.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 80c | 899.67$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 76c | 880$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.2 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…3647backed Yes | 23c | 874.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 32c | 873.03$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 64c | 839.62$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 32c | 832.28$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.3 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 5c | 801.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…d70dbacked No | 65c | 769.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 766.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 21c | 764.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 8c | 734.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Yes | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…b493backed Yes | 11c | 727$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 77c | 723.56$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yes | 30c | 705.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 43c | 699.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 34c | 693.82$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 24c | 683.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked Yes | 37c | 676.92$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 67c | 671.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 14c | 669.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed No | 19c | 665.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.03 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…5666backed Yes | 65c | 660.53$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 33c | 646.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.31 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…aa87backed Yes | 26c | 624.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked Yes | 12c | 611.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.