TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0562…9d66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
858
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT22333.6%75 W · 148 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,913
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$704
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.31
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.99
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.89
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,773.33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$426
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,032.58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.89
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.06
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,392.5%+$5,132.51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.99
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.69
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,120.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,416.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+364.7%+$1,978.64
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,129.98
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT11936.1%43 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,246.3
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$1,177.81
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.99
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$3,048.81
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$167.47
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+287.6%+$6,010
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,429.31
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+115.8%+$2,608.4
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,309.62
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+160.6%+$197.2
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.01
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.98
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,132.75
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+171.1%+$1,340.04
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$517.93
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+89.1%+$2,270.64
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+316.7%+$608
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$149.99
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$245.56
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+434.9%+$3,920.9
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT7540%30 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$65.07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,249.81
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+561.3%+$4,002.17
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$629
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,194.27
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.29
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57%+$7.62
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$359.5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,214.92
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.15
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68%+$32.38
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$290.2
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.6
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$317.2
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+141.7%+$334.73
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.6%+$2,984.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$541.42
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+779.7%+$511.5
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST7014.3%10 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+54.1%+$70.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$223.65
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,609.26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$876.42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$742.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,393.5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+202.6%+$1,151.5
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$436.14
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$920.09
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.6
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+63%+$406.19
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+230.6%+$1,004.13
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,754.43
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.08
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.87
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.78
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.55
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$141.92
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$674.36
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.74
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT6732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oscars Bingobacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940.47
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$286.54
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.93
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.15
Will "Leo" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$15.84
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.47
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$603.33
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.42
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$867.99
Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$149.27
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+198%+$1,661.09
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$498.44
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$174.49
Will "My Secret Santa" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$418.43
Will "The Abandons" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$237.67
Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$63.07
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.98
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$749
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,006.4
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,244.92
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.21
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,588.93
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$453.24
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.86
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+54.3%+$299
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,617.75
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$68.42
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.71
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+954.8%+$3,800.73
Will the Blue Bloc win by 1–4 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.79
Will the Blue Bloc win by 5–8 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.05
Will the Blue Bloc win by 9 or more seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.23
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,589.06
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.52
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,501.19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,074.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,993.22
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$8,167.36
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,788.02
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.49
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$1,038.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,157.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+321.7%+$2,776.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,338.04
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.45
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$2,555.09
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$568.69
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+422.6%+$6,526.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100.98
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+274.3%+$2,185.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$701.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$412.26
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.95
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.49
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.28
Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$179.17
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90.1%+$314.15
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+137.5%+$928.31
Will Trump say "Mental institution" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+144.3%+$3,556.29
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,625.44
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,459.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$3,039.92
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,020.33
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,674.4
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+1,132.3%+$747.36
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$311.38
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.71
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,075.02
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$350
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,453.92
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$635.42
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$280
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$543.42
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$748
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,710.97
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$770
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$871.52
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.57
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$325
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$120
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,356.72
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+300.1%+$1,612.59
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.75
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$743.38
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.59
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$672
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$129.49
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.43
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+137%+$259.9
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.16
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.26
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$577.69
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.5
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.39
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.84
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$135.99
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.89
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+50%+$1,333.18
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$504.29
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$429.56
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,399.65
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will a Sabrina Carpenter song reach #1 again this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.56
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200.99
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.13
Will Ariana Grande say "Wicked" 5+ times on SNL on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$20
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+1,900%+$191.8
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,108.53
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$709.99
Taylor Swift “Opalite” 195M Spotify Streams on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+148.7%+$2,576.01
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$562.73
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32%+$291
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,064
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+111.1%+$2,556.68
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81%+$741.51
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$910.95
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$664.97
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$582
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$495.56
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$488.11
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.86
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,687.92
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+303.5%+$1,656.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,478.51
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+158.6%+$3,136.55
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,845.97
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,801Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$2,340.24
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+191.9%+$1,163.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$808.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.99
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,728.35
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,862.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$788.95
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$7,761.5
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+307.7%+$1,001.22
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+137.1%+$1,245.48
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+62.5%+$5,093.38
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45%+$2,758.38
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,256.66
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$6,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$6,535.1
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+80.2%+$3,382.09
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$508.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$1,038.09
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,844.82
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$156.86
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$535
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$373.88
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,533.9
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$332.02
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,359.76
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.13
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$461
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$382.73
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+485.1%+$5,405.62
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+400.6%+$817.41
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.04
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.1%+$346.28
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$880
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$418.9
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,079.99
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$147
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$147.95
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,935.1
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+292.9%+$1,638.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+496.4%+$11,346.62
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$582
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.19
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.94
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$17.46
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+582.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$4,095.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,833.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.