China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742c6ad72094c9e6f5b66b14591b0c30840f8d814ffbfda2f44d3218872bcb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 0c | 97,087$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 38,115$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 0c | 35,055$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…c035backed Yes | 1c | 30,627$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6fa8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…71a2backed Yes | 1c | 28,780$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,372$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 0c | 22,305$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 0c | 19,508$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 0c | 19,310$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b19…1ad9backed Yes | 1c | 18,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…88c4backed Yes | 1c | 16,286$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…73c1backed Yes | 1c | 15,376$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 1c | 14,783$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked Yes | 0c | 14,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 2c | 13,747$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,424$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…593cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,040$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…b9bcbacked Yes | 4c | 11,847$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 2c | 10,504$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,205$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…97bebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 0c | 9,570$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 9,495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…809ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…336dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,522$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,945$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,451$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 3c | 7,210$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Yes | 0c | 6,455$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 1c | 5,911$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,604$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 5,528$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…48c8backed Yes | 0c | 5,087$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,008$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +284.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…36b1backed Yes | 2c | 4,801$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,662$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 4,630$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…6edcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,297$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…6c1ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,074$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 2c | 3,997$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 0c | 3,930$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…fae5backed Yes | 1c | 3,882$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,687$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf798…55f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,094$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…f488backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 1c | 2,815$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7c01backed Yes | 1c | 2,791$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…56bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,773$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…04ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,609$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…91fbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,609$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 3c | 2,418$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…4d52backed Yes | 0c | 2,409$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,295$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 1c | 2,264$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…3783backed Yes | 1c | 2,229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…6d2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 1c | 2,226$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e2…a6fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,119$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…935cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,082$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…3700backed Yes | 1c | 2,038$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,988$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,860$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,730$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,718$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,630$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 2c | 1,591$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…68a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,583$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 22cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…ba4bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,488$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 2c | 1,443$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,398$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…d5dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,390$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…ccf1backed Yes | 1c | 1,251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,205$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…d4f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,185$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…1918backed Yes | 1c | 1,135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…2263backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…284dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,083$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2dc2backed Yes | 1c | 1,036$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 1,031$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…2c3dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -81%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…2c0dbacked Yes | 1c | 984$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…7f8dbacked Yes | 2c | 832.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…cef9backed Yes | 1c | 829.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…6694backed Yes | 1c | 715.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…fde4backed Yes | 2c | 652.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…54e1backed Yes | 2c | 628.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 26, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 28, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.