TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a3c…2db9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT437%3 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.64
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.4
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.6
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.2
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.81
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.45
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,714.66
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,483.46
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$7,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,033.2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.6
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.58
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT372.7%1 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+898.3%+$12,431.68
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.65
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.45
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.92
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.05
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.38
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.93
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.56
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.32
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.85
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,122.4%+$561.44
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,561.78
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.12
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.4
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.93
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.11
England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.39
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.71
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.34
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$474
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$258.3
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,347.3%+$2,266.85
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.43
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.55
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,546.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.51
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.98
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,673.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,118.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,509Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+354.6%+$8,897.04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.97
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+380.3%+$931.21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.34
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$572.23
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.82
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.93
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$394.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.82
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.51
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.91
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$148.59
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$199.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.32
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.33
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.73
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.96
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.91
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.53
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$239.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$701.03
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59.04
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.33
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$431
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.26
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$268.04
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.01
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.21
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.58
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.97
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.46
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+103.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+125%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$131.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.