TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x440a…035abacked Yes25c30,332$7,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,692.881030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No80c19,311$15,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,363.8834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c17,203$9,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c11,362$8,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,403.8431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No63c10,669$6,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,753.772450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No43c7,625$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.783748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes75c4,983$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c4,207$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.6349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes76c3,931$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No6c3,310$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes27c3,289$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c2,666$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.0122373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes23c2,619$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.052250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes22c2,369$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes27c2,222$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+86.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c2,000$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5457424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes73c1,874$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.0611053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f24…9a68backed No74c1,825$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes69c1,803$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1912044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6716032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c1,517$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.6319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c1,480$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.7741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No75c1,471$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.562466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No25c1,445$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.71833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c1,394$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.3932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes17c1,230$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.991428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c1,214$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.4136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes9c1,100$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes18c1,080$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.248232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c1,074$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.0122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes28c1,062$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.665459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No70c1,040$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.882166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes21c984.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.011070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c952.62$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.1813839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c936.57$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes16c925.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.936357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c922.88$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.322,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No75c764$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c731.39$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes19c718.92$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No62c696.11$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.25955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes12c647.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+331.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Yes76c624.52$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c606.24$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9320749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes27c567.56$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…be08backed Yes11c566.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.67728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+123.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes60c547.97$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.533638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes15c529.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.175038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes27c525.93$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.934242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes49c500.37$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.678548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c499.96$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.972766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes27c481.48$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No74c459.84$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.389661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No16c450.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4412920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes26c437.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.754528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes27c430.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+73%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29212153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes11c396.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No39c384$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.376822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes27c367.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c367.18$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.647762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c364.89$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes28c357.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.89650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No23c342$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.661216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes21c316.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.911637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c306.49$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c303.04$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No73c301$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7314258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes28c299.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.579826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes31c295.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.063080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes71c280.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecf5…6e26backed Yes15c279.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick12cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes17c276.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4717744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8836…c2febacked No74c275$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes13c269$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.11612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes19c261.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3511955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes77c257$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2348…cf00backed Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes74c241.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.993259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No25c227.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes27c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.226662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No50c219.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.782548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes29c217.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+127.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes73c216.44$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes27c215.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.689650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.