TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1103…bb2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,537.23
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,932.45
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,084.12
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,407.96
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,944
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$525.38
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,133.12
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,708.47
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,266.34
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,944Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,944.21
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$1,334.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,611
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$3,243.18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,112.93
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,784.86
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,913.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$888
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,827.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,633.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,598.76
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$813.68
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,407Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,312.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,393.21
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,400.89
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$888
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,619.86
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$781.28
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$837.1
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,888
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,952Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,026.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.