Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8628563b3b4bcc0c7ccf847d2895de3c0cd410d816ef0e7495f9cf894125a988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…e838backed Under | 58c | 5,500$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 4,992$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.63 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 4,167$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.34 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 37c | 2,674$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,865$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Over | 36c | 1,826$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 55c | 1,758$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 995.92$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 43c | 732.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.83 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 643.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 62c | 388.47$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 366.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 333.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 58c | 265$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 36c | 258.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 78c | 183.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 165.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Under | 60c | 142.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…4af7backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 99.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 39c | 99.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 46c | 98.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 47c | 94.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 91.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 74c | 78.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 78c | 77.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 21c | 66.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 65.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 38c | 59.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 39c | 56.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Over | 44c | 55.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 43.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 54c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 69c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Over | 46c | 27.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 70c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 72c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5this page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.