TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e1b…106c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
567
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT9174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$93.58
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.72
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$10.68
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$20.52
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$60.57
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$27.49
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.16
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$11.54
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.76
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34%+$22.72
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$13.13
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26%+$18.75
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.26
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.73
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$65.17
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$5.55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$11.16
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT8669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$147.28
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.57
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.14
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.33
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.21
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$4.72
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$5.53
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.13
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.22
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.05
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.69
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.79
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.93
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.86
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT6575.4%49 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Roland Garros WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$113.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$133.06
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Titouan Droguetbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$12.5
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.94
Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.6
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+68%+$7.51
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$23.38
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$75.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.15
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobonbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$20.53
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$10.07
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$17.96
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$11.98
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$42.58
Parma: Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.54
Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkovabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.3
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$14.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.53
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.96
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$13.54
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.62
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$9.89
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.27
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.2
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.21
Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.43
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$10.16
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$14.23
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$43.03
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$65.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38%+$8.24
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$10.73
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$10.21
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.12
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$51.3
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$126.41
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$16.41
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$58.67
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4463.6%28 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.31
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.19
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$9.77
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.3
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$8.65
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.05
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$8.2
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$25.71
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$3.46
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.93
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.19
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Will Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$8.77
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$10.53
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.55
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$48.66
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.85
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.35
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.35
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.34
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30%+$5.97
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$3.19
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.08
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.31
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.14
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.01
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$7.22
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$6.07
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.7
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$18.61
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.24
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.46
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.74
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.7
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$38.24
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.06
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4168.3%28 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$67.54
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$8.97
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$9.13
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$17.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.27
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$6.74
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$11.28
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$63.11
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33%+$6.43
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$35.39
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$10.4
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$28.05
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$11.61
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.86
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$71.55
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$16.56
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$27.97
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$12.37
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$24.27
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$180.25
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$21.28
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$79.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.71
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$12.9
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$36.49
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$11.47
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.25
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$133.24
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.6
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$8.79
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$11.7
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$51.25
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$12.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3083.3%25 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.88
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Cbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$5.58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$17.91
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$12.98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35%+$6.28
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$17.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.57
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$5.81
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.77
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$5.17
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.81
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$3.48
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$9.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$98.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$13.12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.75
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$32.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$6.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$11.81
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.92
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$14.42
1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.36
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$17.29
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.73
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$12.04
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$9.94
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$8.14
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$8.87
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$4.05
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.74
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.92
Will Holstein Kiel vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$7.17
Holstein Kiel vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$6.03
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$6.1
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.46
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.32
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$8
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.52
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.13
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$53.3
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$17.11
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.63
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$35.42
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.89
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51%+$15.06
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$11.3
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.77
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.14
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$10.47
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.74
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$49.34
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$3.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$4.35
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$28.03
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$6.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$21.53
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$5.31
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.92
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$18.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$5.52
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.