TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c6,642$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over46c2,605$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.4246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over46c2,544$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8615247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under31c2,471$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.162035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c2,436$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.161,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over58c2,000$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.992065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under22c1,719$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4572350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+240.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c1,409$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under42c1,346$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3610741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a5c…5dddbacked Over69c1,197$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over68c885.14$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.148447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under22c802$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.132924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over74c764.7$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6814824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+426.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6411565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c709.79$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.452,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3514161%86 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over60c523.71$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0912945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c504.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1708343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under42c396.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.331,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under11c361.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.632070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over47c316.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c304.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.211,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.865070%35 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under29c273.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.452,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c232.44$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.771,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c220.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked Over64c218.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc762…705fbacked Under12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c199.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over69c188.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.419741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aea…34b7backed Over74c183.42$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over62c158.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+106.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under31c133.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.081020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over69c113.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.777060%42 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over80c110$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8af…44dcbacked Over41c109.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under32c109.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over61c109.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Under30c102.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.841241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over64c96.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9441145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under41c90.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.117761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under21c82.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49110%0 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over74c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under39c64.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.098660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Under22c61.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.424047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over52c59.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.452572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed Under35c53.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.780%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over69c53.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c51.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.891,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Under21c48.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under46c48.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b1…cf50backed Under52c47.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Under26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d0…2e99backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea52…fd7abacked Under31c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over70c35.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.534463.6%28 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b5…8762backed Over69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Over75c30.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Over54c30.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf870…415dbacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over55c26.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Over70c20.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.046159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over68c20.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104658.7%27 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over67c19.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Over68c17.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.583666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.147061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over62c16.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.234862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b9…6de6backed Over69c15.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Over71c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.