TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9df6…c33b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$140.72
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$44.8
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.56
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.58
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.15
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.61
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$59.33
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.9
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.33
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$36.66
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88.7
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$69.87
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.15
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.24
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.45
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.08
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.61
Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.67
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$27.68
CR Flamengo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
SC Internacional vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$105.77
Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$42.76
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.24
Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.27
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$64.87
Fluminense FC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.45
Red Bull Bragantino vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$9.19
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$30.98
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mirassol FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$48.14
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.47
CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$35.26
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$24.71
Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$60.12
Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+106%+$31.79
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Columbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
D.C. United SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
All 24 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.3
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.83
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.3
Hertha BSC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$23.72
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.03
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$67.48
SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.86
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.57
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.6
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$78.1
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.56
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.77
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.92
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$126.01
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Vejle BK vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$99.2
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$9.31
Silkeborg IF vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.5
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.61
Dundee FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.77
CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.54
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.