TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,868,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,858,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,868,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over52c350,000$182,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,999.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c196,651$94,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,171.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed Under44c170,048$74,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,821.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Under48c168,636$80,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,945.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under1c150,578$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.788728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,00021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.862524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under43c88,041$38,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,152.725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under48c87,264$41,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,916.6317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under0c73,873$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.872737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c51,881$24,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,099.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over46c50,000$22,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,249.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under48c46,000$22,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,2808349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over53c40,000$21,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,799.917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under7c38,949$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.3428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over51c37,601$19,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,540.7553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under49c37,473$18,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,322.7113448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c35,000$18,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,58559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c32,907$13,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,982.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under3c31,868$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.6536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under49c31,647$15,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,526.3733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under49c30,612$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0003850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over48c29,963$14,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,592.014456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c25,153$11,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,624.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c25,055$11,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,922.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under5c22,555$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.4439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under41c21,829$9,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,057.5934845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c20,777$10,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,092.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under54c20,113$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa107…b7bdbacked Over65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under48c19,259$9,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,244.2611647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over52c19,200$9,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,21614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under48c17,976$8,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,628.487851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under2c16,667$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over52c15,064$7,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,230.887050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c15,000$7,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,149.9823949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over52c12,500$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00019038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under3c12,162$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.968942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,76013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under42c11,521$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,852.5713738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under27c11,015$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.9536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under43c10,900$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.8215843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c10,405$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280.9610146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over56c10,320$5,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.83050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c10,104$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.352,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over48c9,832$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,112.610840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9613544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked Over53c9,043$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.851020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Under44c8,954$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c8,920$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.71,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over52c8,800$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.9712343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c8,500$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,99512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Under5c8,381$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.744647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Over53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7602867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8406947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.954344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.318353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under4c7,612$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under32c7,588$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.1266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under43c7,451$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.0915249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under47c7,447$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Under46c6,949$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.755263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c6,634$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.8829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c6,609$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.8942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over70c6,373$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.791,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over65c6,322$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.6517732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over64c6,175$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.3745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under50c5,887$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under48c5,683$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.8318850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over74c5,405$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.415952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over68c5,389$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.1798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…9cc6backed Under47c5,166$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under8c5,139$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9910942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Over52c4,807$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.64746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6312554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Over50c4,586$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.0115229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b30…8ea8backed Under47c4,557$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under22c4,447$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.3921946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under52c4,366$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.522450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under47c4,258$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.265554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under43c4,191$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.272626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c4,096$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.2974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under6c4,033$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9113736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18c1…7d6fbacked Over52c4,009$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.171070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00013259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8808158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under11c3,706$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under41c3,703$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under6c3,656$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4822932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over53c3,650$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.59846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over53c3,618$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.5637955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c3,516$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.