TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under24c122,071$29,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,352.1177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over76c64,873$49,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,569.584148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Over76c40,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over80c30,126$24,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,121.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over77c18,182$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.823271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under0c16,142$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1411126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over79c7,595$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.947448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under20c7,343$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.6716116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c6,071$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.378672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under23c3,696$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Under30c3,063$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe875…28e5backed Over76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Over76c2,854$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.956732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over78c2,811$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over76c2,705$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over77c2,544$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.229462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over77c2,272$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.561,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c1,949$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Under24c1,912$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.852524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c1,810$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under11c1,797$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under25c1,796$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under24c1,742$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.212,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under12c1,654$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7965948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over80c1,315$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.971,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over76c1,287$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under15c1,067$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bb…f68ebacked Under24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under13c1,035$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1620850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over77c1,013$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under2c987.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5542126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under11c921.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over79c857.5$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.631,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c840.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5624626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over76c730.26$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2612249.2%60 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8935150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3514568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c8…6e5cbacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.359556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.359662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under19c633.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.423036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Over71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over73c599.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16237753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…fcefbacked Over72c552.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.93464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3d…6143backed Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3213665.4%89 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3224162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c511.54$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over77c459.21$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.873,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Under12c406.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7811238.4%43 W · 69 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9212147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…eeb9backed Over74c393.6$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.69259.8%55 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.618243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under22c375.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5545740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over77c345$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Over76c337.71$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0510452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…e7f0backed Under12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over77c317.34$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.313,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over80c308$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.633443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Over75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6924542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under9c288$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…45c6backed Over71c280.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.831952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over75c280.28$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0718340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Under28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over76c266.59$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9852744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over67c261.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.449654.2%52 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under13c261.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Over77c257.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.333868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under24c240$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.646445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…c222backed Under13c238.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31667.6%5 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508450%42 W · 42 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over77c220.82$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.791681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over68c209$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6814463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…8905backed Under24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under11c206.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under20c206.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over77c204.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468065%52 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over76c201.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3511170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over76c201.45$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.358773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488754%47 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1d…33aabacked Over70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Over69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3713843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over76c193.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1137…cbffbacked Under12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29f…ed55backed Over77c146.48$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.