TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,233 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under7c14,643$998 inLost-$997.614223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under7c11,231$774 inLost-$774.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under7c9,059$667 inLost-$667.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under7c7,526$543 inLost-$542.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…6d6dbacked Under7c4,450$296 inLost-$295.711010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c4,196$272 inLost-$272.4830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4d…09febacked Under6c3,699$229 inLost-$229.322035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under6c3,603$231 inLost-$230.5811721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under6c3,004$185 inLost-$185.0334125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cc…9883backed Under7c1,527$100 inLost-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under4c1,120$49 inLost-$49.2621630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under6c1,048$60 inLost-$59.661,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under6c999.98$62 inLost-$628658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under6c906.41$58 inLost-$58.012532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0d…e220backed Under7c871.6$58 inLost-$58616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under3c859.81$29 inLost-$29.4713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Under6c793.65$50 inLost-$508619.8%17 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Under6c792.34$50 inLost-$5017020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under7c625.75$45 inLost-$44.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under7c527$35 inLost-$35.3119317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under7c400.32$28 inLost-$28.4518118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Under6c317.46$20 inLost-$2015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…c222backed Under8c302.93$25 inLost-$25667.6%5 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under8c279.7$21 inLost-$21.421,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Under6c240.18$14 inLost-$148527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…2f84backed Under6c238.1$15 inLost-$157345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Under6c234.38$15 inLost-$152718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under5c199.98$11 inLost-$10.819723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under6c197.65$11 inLost-$10.881,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52fd…f525backed Under9c196.9$18 inLost-$17.574254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under6c157$10 inLost-$10.0518431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf77…95edbacked Under8c125$10 inLost-$104259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.