TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,323 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over62c1,422$879 inWon+$542.753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Under56c879.61$493 inLost-$492.581546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under42c806.94$342 inLost-$342.1358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a0…4be5backed Over60c500$300 inWon+$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under55c235$130 inLost-$130.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c196.46$104 inWon+$92.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c128.74$65 inLost-$64.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Under10c112.01$11 inLost-$11.212145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over51c111.11$57 inWon+$54.4495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under49c111.11$54 inLost-$54.443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over47c100$47 inWon+$5328544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under53c100$53 inLost-$5347049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e1…ad5abacked Over50c97.56$49 inWon+$48.782825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon+$31.433447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over45c70.87$32 inWon+$38.9812871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c45.32$22 inWon+$22.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over44c40$18 inWon+$22.41,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c28.14$15 inWon+$13.5336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$105569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.