Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc3b49aed83f6b64ff5d96473cc12125715a4da07d82bbf26fae231364d89bc

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $112,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,167 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	12c	30,843$3,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,733.43	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	12c	15,031$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.66	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Over	17c	13,309$2,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,262.52	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	18c	1,974$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.61	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over	29c	1,599$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	14c	1,335$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.83	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	24c	1,289$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	12c	1,168$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.15	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	15c	1,019$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.46	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	23c	999.17$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.33	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	15c	975.88$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.38	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over	27c	925.93$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	27c	821.82$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.28	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over	9c	800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	122	23%28 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over	15c	760.38$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.45	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	8c	704.13$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	21c	541.15$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.68	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	78c	468.58$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.24	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over	17c	464.65$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.69	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	29c	449.62$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.34	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	12c	442.91$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.15	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6898…19d4backed Over	20c	427.02$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.4	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8113…22cbbacked Over	16c	401.77$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Over	26c	385.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+5.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over	27c	370$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over	23c	369.67$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	25c	350.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.39	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over	28c	346.43$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under	74c	345.95$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.95	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…1551backed Over	13c	308.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.34	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	14c	299.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	15c	265.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Over	27c	259.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed Over	23c	255.55$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.22	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	17c	255.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	12c	219.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over	18c	208.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.52	184	31.5%58 W · 126 L	-19.1wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…1d1ebacked Over	31c	159.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983d…6288backed Over	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	77c	140.66$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	16c	139.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	11c	128$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over	26c	119.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab4f…cfb7backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	285	44.6%127 W · 158 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x151f…5651backed Over	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x593a…b9f4backed Under	73c	68.71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.71	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac9…47a9backed Over	16c	64.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Over	31c	63.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x087a…bb87backed Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	139	30.9%43 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked Over	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	66.7%56 W · 28 L	+8.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5891…4912backed Under	77c	60.92$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.21	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	27c	51.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7416…45ecbacked Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	71c	35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Under	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5this page
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan won
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Austria won
Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Austria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event