TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$617,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$642,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1262…2fc9backed Over0c299,390$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3927466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Over35c70,801$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over26c49,999$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.651855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c24,241$17,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c23,346$15,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over35c14,135$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.172,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under65c14,000$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8402934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c13,000$8,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…e8e3backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c6,100$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under74c5,439$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.8430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c4,640$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over79c4,552$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9638960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c3,433$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c2,964$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under72c2,961$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under66c2,952$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.7816357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c2,733$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Under17c2,500$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0756100%6 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+236%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c2,323$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over43c2,163$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c1,975$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over34c1,911$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.6920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under68c1,728$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.943158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c1,630$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.251,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under66c1,539$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.1174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under78c1,343$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under56c1,324$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8323440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under77c1,297$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under66c1,167$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over43c1,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c1,133$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under68c1,105$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.535150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over47c1,074$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.521,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over48c999.96$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9818449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over34c899.98$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over43c889.44$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.469239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under66c809.27$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.581,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under55c802.02$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over30c749.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Under67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.272544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.278056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c744.76$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under63c713.83$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under66c666.12$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.485349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a0…4be5backed Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under63c613.46$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Under74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over34c596.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.961,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over35c570.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under74c522.1$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over36c505.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18212223%28 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1608950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under52c493.82$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0322029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Under67c408.62$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.847636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Under71c390.08$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.325358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf902…df82backed Under10c359.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.583100%3 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under58c327.91$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over43c312$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0311748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under67c302.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9915536.8%57 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Under66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10210855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over8c263.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5917223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over38c263.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9922932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over47c262.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over37c254.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Under63c253.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.973650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c252.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.262,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…5affbacked Under71c252.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.324454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over39c245.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over35c241.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.376836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under59c205.14$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1416452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd388…4c38backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over33c192.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4916737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c2…8c93backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under79c174.11$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.282,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c159.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.472,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x708a…540fbacked Over19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.