TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfec6…b86c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
442
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT37650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 376 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$956.69
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$11,995.51
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$1,606.17
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,952.19
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.59
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,555.2
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.73
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.29
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$472.62
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.79
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$3,072.55
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+273%+$3,088.55
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$173.06
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$294.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,377Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$6,276.81
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.02
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$2,167.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$63.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,618Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$1,836.78
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.18
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$630.24
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.54
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.44
Showing 25 of 376 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$153
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$387.27
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.03
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.75
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.44
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.76
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$154.96
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$82.35
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.02
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$3.44
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$21.64
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.02
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$491.59
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$758.44
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.95
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$127
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.27
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$96.54
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.66
EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,348.72
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.35
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$491.36
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,135.46
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$41.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.16
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$121.03
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$516.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.97
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$26.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$984.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.81
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$110.97
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.67
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$18.51
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$203.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+89.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67%+$50.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$273.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.