Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9b81ad5aaaeac1b7fc3380454f4d4c5d89ed6e0adce87493e84b8d3c2e3683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 3c | 5,646$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 7c | 4,827$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 4,567$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 1c | 2,495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 2,115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 6c | 2,005$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Over | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Over | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 1,427$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 1c | 1,411$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 6c | 1,241$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 7c | 1,069$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 917.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 6c | 777$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 7c | 720.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 3c | 690.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 5c | 620.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 594.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 7c | 570.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 9c | 565.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 5c | 304.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 7c | 185.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Over | 7c | 182.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5this page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.