TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Under11c10,499$1,154 inLost-$1,153.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under12c5,923$711 inLost-$710.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c3,092$340 inLost-$340.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under11c2,714$299 inLost-$298.5220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under11c2,620$288 inLost-$287.711,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under12c1,958$237 inLost-$237.284228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under12c1,500$180 inLost-$18035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under11c1,175$129 inLost-$129.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under11c999.98$110 inLost-$11036838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under11c664.09$73 inLost-$73.058942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under11c500$55 inLost-$551,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under11c454.14$50 inLost-$50.133,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under11c250.48$28 inLost-$27.5573234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Under12c233.33$28 inLost-$288527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under10c226.76$23 inLost-$22.686929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under12c168.08$20 inLost-$20.211,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Under12c166.67$20 inLost-$2011335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under10c113.16$11 inLost-$10.962,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under10c109$11 inLost-$10.924541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under15c100$15 inLost-$151,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cd…08a7backed Under12c98.58$12 inLost-$11.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.