Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fad500d321f2a8528e3aecdb4d9a1fccf49e5b4a4e3b9079b9631dc88875f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked Under | 20c | 2,825$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +236%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…f301backed Under | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 74c | 1,894$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.37 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed Under | 10c | 1,367$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Over | 26c | 1,090$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 24c | 987.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 910.57$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 376$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 27c | 374$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 326$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 303.69$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Over | 39c | 240.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 76c | 202.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 172.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 73c | 172.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e1…ad5abacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 75c | 157.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 134$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under | 73c | 92.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 25c | 53.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 73c | 25.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…2f92backed Under | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 77c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.