TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Jordan (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Austriaof Jordan, Austria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,665 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Jordan2c22,236$470 inLost-$470.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Jordan3c19,718$586 inLost-$585.5211642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Jordan3c17,408$516 inLost-$515.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Jordan3c6,708$174 inLost-$174.4221333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Jordan2c5,850$139 inLost-$1393067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Jordan3c5,170$150 inLost-$149.9251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Jordan3c4,381$129 inLost-$128.782,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Jordan3c3,984$105 inLost-$105.289114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jordan3c3,870$113 inLost-$113.111,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Jordan3c2,190$64 inLost-$63.771,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Jordan3c2,100$63 inLost-$632888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Jordan3c2,058$53 inLost-$53.533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed Jordan3c1,605$45 inLost-$44.954535.6%16 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Jordan3c1,568$46 inLost-$46.192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Jordan3c1,508$45 inLost-$45.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jordan3c1,095$32 inLost-$31.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…5660backed Jordan3c890.33$27 inLost-$26.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jordan3c876.17$26 inLost-$25.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…239fbacked Jordan3c833.33$25 inLost-$254134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Jordan3c712$21 inLost-$21.3665835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Jordan3c680.34$18 inLost-$18.3773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Jordan3c626.22$19 inLost-$18.7918911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Jordan3c509.08$14 inLost-$143650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Jordan3c357.14$10 inLost-$1024132.8%79 W · 162 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.