Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3088e65e975ba99f1abed77d32bfb7e6781a607019a581841e9479bb0dcdd97

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $239,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $247,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	15c	16,475$2,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,471.25	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	12c	12,845$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.08	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over	15c	10,348$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.2	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over	15c	7,700$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	2c	5,769$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	15c	5,760$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.67	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	15c	5,598$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.84	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	9c	5,408$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.71	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over	13c	4,947$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.17	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	15c	4,619$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	16c	4,500$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.25	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	12c	2,826$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.84	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	14c	2,495$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.3	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	3c	2,422$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.92	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	7c	2,225$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.53	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	9c	1,523$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.94	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	15c	1,505$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.75	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	4c	1,469$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	16c	1,244$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.51	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	14c	1,200$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	10c	1,122$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.9wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over	14c	824.86$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.73	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over	10c	675$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over	16c	670$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.2	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	14c	665.94$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.23	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	10c	648.18$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over	15c	586.6$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.99	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	21c	580$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.47	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	14c	533$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.39	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over	4c	512.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	189	36%68 W · 121 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over	14c	472$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.02	177	32.2%57 W · 120 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	6c	450$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec7…c222backed Over	15c	366.67$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	14c	338.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over	15c	335.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884a…0ec5backed Over	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over	13c	280.95$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	12c	271.54$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.58	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	19c	260.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	15c	255.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Over	11c	236.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	15c	213.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	14c	209.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.59	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over	15c	205.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	21c	200$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.01	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Over	14c	200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	13c	194.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Over	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	16c	159.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	8c	158.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	14c	153.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over	15c	146.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	296	36.1%107 W · 189 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Over	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…cbffbacked Over	16c	125.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	16c	125.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	107	27.1%29 W · 78 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c49…0596backed Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d5…8863backed Over	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8113…22cbbacked Over	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	17c	86.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over	14c	72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over	19c	63.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	274	45.3%124 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5this page
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 2.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 0.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Over won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
Spread: Austria (-2.5)Jordan won
Spread: Austria (-3.5)Jordan won
Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Austria won
Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Austria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event