TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1137…cbff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$11.02
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$11.01
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$5.61
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$24.42
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$21.02
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$15.51
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$3.3
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$5.11
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$6.86
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.44
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$8.78
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$9.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$17.42
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$6.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$12.11
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$13.9
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$18.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.41
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.05
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haitabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$8.14
Quito: Angel Veliz vs Daniel Nunezbacked Angel Veliz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Itobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.64
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$20.19
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$19.63
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+105%+$12.6
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Ayla Aksubacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+116%+$25.52
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$19.11
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripabacked Allura Zamarripa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Asuncion 2: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matias Sotobacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$34.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.