TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,042,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,044,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under51c200,989$102,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,504.6117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over49c181,263$88,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,818.8574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c81,743$51,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,840.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under36c81,542$29,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,080.4725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c72,513$31,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,296.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under41c48,645$19,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,794.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under29c44,324$12,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,570.6777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c32,725$20,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,767.541,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over51c19,429$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.84264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over49c18,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8204734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under14c14,665$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,611.8916357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over72c14,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0804040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over72c13,900$10,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under28c12,889$3,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,279.963246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under46c12,834$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,922.6725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under29c11,037$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,832.152,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under62c10,564$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.2330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Over72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.983764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9612432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under19c9,087$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,363.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c8,129$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Over11c7,839$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.795543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under28c7,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over73c6,849$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under35c6,179$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.3511561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under79c5,868$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.0432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under36c5,517$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.6336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over6c5,085$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under60c5,061$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.421,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over22c4,603$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c4,520$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.6744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under41c4,441$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.6765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c4,165$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under59c4,051$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.325049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c4,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under44c3,641$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.8333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Under10c3,586$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.6916163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under67c3,464$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.1937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over52c3,186$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.9622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over73c3,100$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26314463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over72c3,077$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under30c3,013$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.2443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Over79c2,900$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.752792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.2wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+56.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c2,803$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.531,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under31c2,714$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.0569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under10c2,687$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.142126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c2,630$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.1135251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c2,503$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.771,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under40c2,372$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.1838948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under14c2,306$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.9829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under24c2,301$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.351,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Under76c2,238$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.183271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c2,174$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over6c2,160$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under52c2,087$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under76c2,052$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under20c2,039$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.1834533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under16c2,012$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.3218548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under65c2,005$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.6128224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over77c2,000$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.155060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under25c1,996$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.2530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under44c1,900$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.2527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over60c1,808$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.4198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fb…65ddbacked Under57c1,763$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.413658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over31c1,683$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under15c1,667$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.6728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under78c1,650$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.411,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Over72c1,647$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.751861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under28c1,614$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.7458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Under57c1,505$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.36445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over24c1,495$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over50c1,470$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7355846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under7c1,460$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.951,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc0…f02abacked Over72c1,378$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc538…3d1ebacked Over53c1,335$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over42c1,300$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9811156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over72c1,296$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.825158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over60c1,275$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.951,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c1,252$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.972,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under42c1,247$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.851,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f7…c691backed Over73c1,201$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.118773.6%64 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Under27c1,200$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88212249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under40c1,190$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.6623449.1%115 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c1,132$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.342,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under77c1,111$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5318543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…fcefbacked Over72c1,109$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over46c1,091$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under55c1,031$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under33c1,020$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.8922147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under9c1,000$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under53c942.89$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5326146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…540ebacked Under55c912.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under24c911.46$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.783748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…a2e4backed Under11c910$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+442.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.