Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9730fc10a8c209173129ef5bfc91ae76242037ca0d9777623f9f47e67c7202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 7,477$4,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 65c | 3,101$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.06 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 65c | 2,341$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 21c | 2,012$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.46 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 34c | 1,989$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.11 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 1,856$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.57 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 65c | 1,297$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 74c | 1,041$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.71 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 1,024$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.42 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 579.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 34c | 542.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 35c | 426.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…e139backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +15.1wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 174.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 65c | 152.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 26c | 147$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 136.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 65c | 114.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 156 | 67.9%106 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…61debacked Under | 35c | 102.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 64c | 91.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…e1a8backed Under | 37c | 74.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 35c | 72.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 213 | 41.3%88 W · 125 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 35c | 68.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 34c | 65.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 65c | 63.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 256 | 46.5%119 W · 137 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 35c | 53.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 33c | 51.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 66c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 34.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…1e18backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 66c | 22.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 64c | 18.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.