Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x457dfcc0bf0029ff73e68ef5018673c0fcd38cd9783a9103647aeb3c9da92c55

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof Türkiye, Paraguay
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $891,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $876,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,178 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Paraguay	76c	339,325$258,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,428.48	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Türkiye	24c	278,326$67,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,533.47	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Türkiye	24c	117,654$27,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,797.05	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Türkiye	24c	50,870$12,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,012.08	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Türkiye	14c	28,499$4,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,125.8	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Türkiye	9c	27,500$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,475	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Türkiye	24c	20,063$4,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,762.71	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Türkiye	22c	17,000$3,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,790	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Paraguay	75c	16,000$12,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Türkiye	16c	15,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Türkiye	24c	14,205$3,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,423.13	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay	77c	14,076$10,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,261.88	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Türkiye	23c	12,418$2,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,856.22	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Türkiye	24c	12,378$2,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970.76	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Paraguay	76c	10,312$7,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,437.13	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Türkiye	11c	10,235$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.84	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Paraguay	75c	10,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Türkiye	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paraguay	76c	8,940$6,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.93	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Paraguay	75c	8,849$6,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.25	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay	76c	8,129$6,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.9	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Türkiye	23c	8,000$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Paraguay	75c	7,360$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Türkiye	25c	6,666$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.5	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Paraguay	76c	6,499$4,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,547.42	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paraguay	76c	6,495$4,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.73	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Paraguay	76c	6,492$4,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,545.61	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Türkiye	25c	6,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Paraguay	75c	6,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Türkiye	12c	5,609$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Türkiye	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Paraguay	75c	5,496$4,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.89	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Türkiye	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.99	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218d…a9aabacked Türkiye	4c	4,988$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.87	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Türkiye	23c	4,315$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Türkiye	24c	4,232$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.9wins	-0.20per pick	46cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paraguay	76c	4,180$3,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.62	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Türkiye	24c	4,071$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Paraguay	75c	3,500$2,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Türkiye	23c	3,196$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paraguay	76c	3,134$2,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.28	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Paraguay	75c	3,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Paraguay	75c	3,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Türkiye	24c	2,917$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Paraguay	76c	2,830$2,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.3	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Paraguay	76c	2,741$2,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.37	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Paraguay	76c	2,524$1,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.73	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Paraguay	76c	2,500$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Türkiye	24c	2,417$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Türkiye	17c	2,353$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-69%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Türkiye	24c	2,300$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paraguay	75c	2,273$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.13	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Türkiye	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Türkiye	23c	2,126$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Türkiye	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	129	43.4%56 W · 73 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Türkiye	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Paraguay	75c	2,078$1,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.65	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Türkiye	23c	2,050$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Paraguay	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.05	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed Paraguay	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Paraguay	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Paraguay	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Paraguay	76c	1,971$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.04	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Türkiye	24c	1,875$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Paraguay	77c	1,723$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.29	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Paraguay	76c	1,642$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.11	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Paraguay	76c	1,579$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.94	139	52.5%73 W · 66 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Türkiye	25c	1,500$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	163	35%57 W · 106 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Paraguay	75c	1,500$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Paraguay	75c	1,500$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Türkiye	12c	1,493$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.99	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Türkiye	23c	1,471$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.86	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Türkiye	23c	1,461$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.33	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade3…bba5backed Türkiye	24c	1,396$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Türkiye	25c	1,364$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.44	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Türkiye	24c	1,358$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Paraguay	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Paraguay	76c	1,320$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.42	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Paraguay	76c	1,299$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.38	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Türkiye	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Türkiye	25c	1,204$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Paraguay	75c	1,168$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Paraguay	75c	1,017$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.25	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Türkiye	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Türkiye	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Paraguay	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	309	50.8%157 W · 152 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Türkiye	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Paraguay	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Paraguay	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Paraguay	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Türkiye	23c	999.98$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Türkiye	23c	994.56$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.75	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Türkiye	24c	987.5$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Türkiye	9c	961.7$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.55	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Türkiye	23c	884.47$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.51	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1629…b0ecbacked Türkiye	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc27…e6c1backed Türkiye	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	91	23.1%21 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Türkiye	24c	801.04$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.25	58	20.7%12 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Türkiye	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Türkiye	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)this page
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event