TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$961,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$961,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $961,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes53c165,186$87,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,437.5321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c105,052$45,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,717.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No47c94,950$44,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,323.3274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c77,346$41,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,514.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No47c52,899$24,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,036.5218738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c52,572$24,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,862.9956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No47c48,391$22,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,647.368046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes53c46,726$24,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,603.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No45c43,426$19,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,056.243,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,899.9925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes53c28,000$14,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8404734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c27,741$13,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,862.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes76c26,480$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes53c20,740$10,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,992.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No47c20,635$9,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,936.476050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes53c19,500$10,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,33523949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No47c18,800$8,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,963.9420448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes33c18,612$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,231.224264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes53c16,396$8,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,625.382,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes53c15,400$8,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,16213746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No47c15,303$7,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,110.498938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No47c12,000$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.929646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed5…1a33backed Yes53c11,825$6,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,267.221145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30020333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed No46c9,659$4,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.128247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes53c9,433$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.4734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes52c8,200$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2644445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Yes53c7,501$3,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,975.733348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Yes53c7,442$3,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.367346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes44c6,479$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No47c6,057$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes75c5,724$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.3822752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No44c5,212$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1d…4162backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes53c4,444$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.3232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…01b1backed Yes53c4,100$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.13754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Yes53c4,041$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.844339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes53c3,979$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.483756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes63c3,970$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No47c3,681$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.699253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes45c3,574$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No30c3,490$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.421,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c3,325$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes60c2,987$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked Yes80c2,980$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.222259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes53c2,840$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No24c2,835$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.1236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No48c2,767$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.571,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No48c2,690$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes52c2,677$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No37c2,537$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.522,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ca…c89cbacked Yes53c2,415$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.82205%1 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes75c2,213$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes56c2,170$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.5266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa24a…d9fabacked Yes23c2,147$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked No47c2,055$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No48c2,035$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.0958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No46c2,006$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.881,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No48c2,003$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.791,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9318738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes53c1,962$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No47c1,887$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.9924146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes69c1,871$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.7136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3793…10afbacked Yes53c1,852$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes53c1,820$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.622452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bf9…33ebbacked Yes47c1,800$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.972055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes53c1,781$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.755550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c1,659$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.063,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6745…232abacked Yes53c1,642$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.185420.4%11 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Yes75c1,598$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed No55c1,515$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.559840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Yes52c1,513$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.858941.6%37 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7956134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No47c1,500$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79516647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Yes53c1,413$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.7914463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Yes52c1,360$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.29149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed No48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.175337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Yes78c1,307$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.1329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Yes54c1,288$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes53c1,283$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3f…a267backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002552%13 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes42c1,176$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.3510432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes53c1,158$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7228545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes45c1,128$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.4749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes72c1,080$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8243635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes66c1,054$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.551,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.