TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over12c80,347$9,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,580.632326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over0c29,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over12c16,923$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.7914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c9,983$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.371,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c8,603$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c6,546$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c4,373$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under80c4,211$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over18c4,152$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.7932422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over17c2,540$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.817732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c2,206$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over7c1,692$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over13c1,686$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.523713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under78c1,420$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3811648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Under79c1,392$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.44445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c1,304$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under78c1,146$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over10c1,136$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.691,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over12c1,100$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13218626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad4…a675backed Under78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22011952.9%63 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over14c974.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.231,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over2c792.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under79c775.46$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.913167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c694$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over9c654.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2417535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.034744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0657…14efbacked Over23c618.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over19c593.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.837326%19 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over12c567$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.044736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over12c555$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Over12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over12c475$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under78c441$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.026352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over25c404.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d4…9409backed Over12c401.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.225350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over10c392.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over12c323.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3869534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over10c314.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4814440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over11c295.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9447744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under79c270$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over12c258.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.987022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over15c230$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.435529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over17c216$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over12c207.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over24c201.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4119031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10722.8%2 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-96.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over12c193.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eac…f094backed Over19c192$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8711749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1435…7b52backed Over11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over14c167$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.388713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f9…9848backed Under77c142.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1222553.8%121 W · 104 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over11c131.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over11c129.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.346525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over24c125.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011438.6%44 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…e4b1backed Over12c124.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over11c123.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.832317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc8…7babbacked Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723844.1%105 W · 133 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over24c83.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9847029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.115655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over22c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11f…1158backed Over17c63.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.826334.9%22 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.635578.2%43 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d00…d3c7backed Under78c29.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.494351.2%22 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.647870.5%55 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.