TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0657…14ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 49 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT8353%44 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+89.3%+$35.72
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$32.31
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.22
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.57
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.07
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.53
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$785.86
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.25
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.63
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$41.54
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.