TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Liquid29c111,842$32,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,292.729942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Spirit71c37,241$26,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.942653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit71c25,418$18,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,414.2681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit70c19,427$13,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,828.0412648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid30c17,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid22c16,581$3,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.134,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Liquid30c11,660$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.9313633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Liquid31c10,963$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.849247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spirit77c9,862$7,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.0946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid16c9,009$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.941,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Spirit71c7,946$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid21c6,703$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid29c6,484$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.0925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Spirit71c5,950$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.121376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid19c5,565$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.853,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Spirit70c5,255$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.0228453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Liquid29c5,222$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.4513646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit80c4,609$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Spirit69c4,533$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Liquid22c4,516$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.914643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liquid20c4,516$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.81,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Liquid26c4,504$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1888446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Spirit70c4,278$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.959234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit70c4,066$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.531,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Spirit71c3,677$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3326344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Liquid26c3,669$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.039141.8%38 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid27c3,490$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Liquid30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Spirit71c3,071$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.454047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Liquid1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid29c3,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.951,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b9…0354backed Spirit78c2,974$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6494456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e42…3559backed Spirit71c2,864$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.43988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Spirit69c2,770$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.7410442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7c…981cbacked Spirit73c2,731$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.834334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Liquid35c2,489$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.422060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Spirit71c2,258$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.7415360.1%92 W · 61 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Spirit70c2,234$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.6521846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Liquid13c2,021$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7532425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Liquid30c2,002$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Liquid30c2,001$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.326549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Liquid12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit70c1,975$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit70c1,901$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.1521042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Liquid32c1,900$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6089442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Liquid14c1,885$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3222554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Liquid32c1,855$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.612045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid29c1,841$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Liquid24c1,712$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.049337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Spirit71c1,690$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.145756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Liquid31c1,669$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.383056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8feb…ccd6backed Liquid18c1,645$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Liquid30c1,633$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1953…f310backed Liquid31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Liquid29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43524139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Liquid29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadc5…3d41backed Liquid25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Liquid31c1,450$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x414f…29a2backed Spirit70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.572458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Spirit71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4527950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Spirit68c1,400$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Liquid19c1,398$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.092722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Spirit70c1,390$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.810252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Liquid19c1,257$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7232552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid35c1,169$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9224440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spirit70c1,157$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.129855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Liquid20c1,135$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.642441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Liquid30c1,100$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Liquid23c1,026$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spirit71c1,018$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.221,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0496…a7cfbacked Liquid31c1,010$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit70c1,004$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2055…aee1backed Spirit69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Liquid30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Spirit71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Spirit74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26010951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Spirit70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Spirit69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Spirit70c999.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9910549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Spirit72c925.62$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1713461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit68c888$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.161,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…2ef2backed Liquid30c869.9$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.97333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Liquid23c852.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid22c850.42$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.732,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Liquid34c813.11$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…4678backed Spirit69c807$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Spirit71c788.73$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.737055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46f…0cc2backed Spirit70c717.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.861656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Liquid26c717.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.526648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Spirit70c714.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.366552.3%34 W · 31 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Spirit70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292568%17 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Spirit71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2326045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Spirit71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.233661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…96edbacked Spirit71c701.59$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Spirit71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20311558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Spirit64c699.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.