TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaab5…aab4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+68.6%+$1,400.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+86.2%+$861.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$500
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,177
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.6%+$883.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,976.99
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+80.2%+$962.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.6%+$286.18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$604.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+64.2%+$1,283.12
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+118.9%+$907.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+327.3%+$2,831.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$865.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,018.64
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+41%+$410.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$185.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$195
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+46.4%+$946.44
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+30.8%+$481.24
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25.6%+$501.17
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.4%+$286.38
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+55.6%+$1,359.33
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+69%+$455.63
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+138.9%+$138.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+30.9%+$319.74
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$612.9
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+34.6%+$346.39
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+52.3%+$522
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$797
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$81.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,627Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$5,626.89
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,628.75
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,916Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.6%+$3,568.74
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,037.55
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.4%+$858.13
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.8%+$1,396.31
All 6 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$208.56
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+51.7%+$2,249.64
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$3,344.59
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$851.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Houston vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$405.3
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+36.2%+$200.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Cagliari Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$420
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.