Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e53d5f0550229dd3c86c3d2d0957a80a2459c23aff55b7234bea78ca3b34a8

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,289,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,649,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,289,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No	20c	217,592$43,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,489.49	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes	80c	200,000$159,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,255.38	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes	80c	130,000$104,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,000	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	20c	125,000$25,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,599.98	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	21c	121,116$25,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,893.74	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No	20c	110,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes	79c	66,230$52,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,908.34	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	79c	61,750$49,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,677.4	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	20c	60,239$11,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,952.44	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	20c	58,645$12,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,006.49	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	79c	56,941$45,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,681.79	298	46.3%138 W · 160 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	34c	43,008$14,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,471.17	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes	80c	39,480$31,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,897.07	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes	80c	35,467$28,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,093.34	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No	22c	32,569$7,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,165.17	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	28c	28,931$8,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,239.32	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed No	20c	27,158$5,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,440.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	80c	25,000$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No	20c	25,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	25c	23,149$5,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,885.8	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked No	21c	21,221$4,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,456.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No	75c	20,615$15,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,481.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No	27c	20,176$5,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,394.49	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	46c	17,306$7,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,927.96	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No	21c	17,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,570	100	40%40 W · 60 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes	71c	14,079$9,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,082.87	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No	20c	14,050$2,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,810	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes	39c	12,889$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,888.58	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	80c	12,500$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No	22c	12,292$2,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,691.67	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	48c	11,302$5,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,861.68	389	35.2%137 W · 252 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Yes	80c	11,048$8,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No	19c	10,700$2,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	22c	10,394$2,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.41	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No	21c	10,091$2,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.85	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes	63c	9,965$6,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,706.27	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No	21c	9,100$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910.94	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8224…e28abacked Yes	59c	8,772$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No	13c	7,772$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.03	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	19cpaid	+158%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	64c	7,500$4,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,719.37	204	62.3%127 W · 77 L	+19.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bbf…9585backed No	21c	7,054$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No	21c	7,019$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No	21c	7,010$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57fa…4e26backed No	21c	6,509$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No	21c	6,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.99	45	40%18 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	20c	6,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.98	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	78c	5,814$4,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,256.37	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes	80c	5,649$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.32	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes	78c	5,353$4,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.99	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed No	20c	5,254$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.71	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	57c	5,200$2,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,258.87	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	112	18.8%21 W · 91 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes	76c	5,000$3,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-5.5wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No	21c	5,000$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	75c	4,492$3,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.48	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	71c	4,225$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No	21c	4,191$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.11	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	69c	4,030$2,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,257.89	203	43.3%88 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…3f52backed No	21c	3,871$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488d…0e64backed Yes	80c	3,800$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes	80c	3,748$2,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.63	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No	19c	3,739$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.96	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No	20c	3,702$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.94	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes	71c	3,699$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.11	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No	13c	3,600$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-47%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No	21c	3,576$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	21c	3,500$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa253…7b52backed No	21c	3,386$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…d405backed No	21c	3,312$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.52	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes	80c	3,250$2,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes	80c	3,125$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…c2a9backed Yes	79c	3,124$2,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No	16c	3,080$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.84	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No	25c	3,014$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.91	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8b…0b5bbacked No	21c	2,974$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0718…f057backed No	21c	2,956$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes	72c	2,917$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.67	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+4.3wins	+0.29per pick	58cpaid	+52%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	20c	2,856$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.57	398	42.2%168 W · 230 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	38c	2,823$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,063.47	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes	71c	2,812$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.48	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No	20c	2,800$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…f210backed No	21c	2,775$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No	20c	2,652$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.32	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-50%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes	80c	2,625$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes	78c	2,588$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.36	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	26c	2,563$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.13	206	43.2%89 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5f…36e9backed Yes	79c	2,553$2,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	39c	2,536$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.13	249	63.1%157 W · 92 L	+45.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No	20c	2,503$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.58	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+98.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…6d51backed Yes	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dd…67c8backed No	21c	2,500$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	80c	2,489$1,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.78	149	55%82 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes	69c	2,487$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	60c	2,466$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.24	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?this page
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event