TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf55…a7e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,640.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$575
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,494.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$362.23
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+203%+$1,339.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$936.6
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+84.8%+$1,102.52
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$690.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$839.43
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$747.96
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$993.53
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$690.42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$658.87
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$518
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$292.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$631.19
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$394.81
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$304.26
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+400%+$873.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+258.5%+$1,784.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,110.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$499.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.