TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a4c…8138backed Under9c15,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3503450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over59c9,796$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.334158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under37c9,380$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.622,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over58c8,888$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.966046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under42c7,536$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.9827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c5,158$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.921,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over77c3,748$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.046435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.997357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c2,774$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over59c2,552$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c2,283$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.816,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c2,274$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.081,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over59c1,941$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.6812345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.147145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf816…3578backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over60c1,662$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under41c1,585$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under40c1,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over79c1,297$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4251542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…078abacked Over57c1,060$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c999.94$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over59c962.95$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.813043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over58c948.57$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.75625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Under43c909.12$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under23c800$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.136956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under36c729.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.41,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under41c683$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under8c600$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24629427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over80c536.18$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2415060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20200%0 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d1…be02backed Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under41c443.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0321548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df4…0287backed Under10c397.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.192326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.984047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3319826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over60c332.13$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Under4c303.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.416453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over59c263.17$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.924656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over59c262.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.714665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6218740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under12c252.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over59c244.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.349551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under44c227.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.325343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Under43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under14c176.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over59c170.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.813149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over58c167.34$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under23c160$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2337557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.435157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over58c129.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1215025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under11c120.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over59c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5510569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Over59c103.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over58c102.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2212448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under42c102$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.695028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4129343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4239561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under43c98.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under42c89.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.794042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Over59c88.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.114250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over58c85.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.672343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755858.6%34 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.