Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e1d35efca2511b2842d39a92520d2755eba9186d82c43a4bf501ae72776e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Under | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 59c | 9,796$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 9,380$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 58c | 8,888$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.96 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 42c | 7,536$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.98 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 5,158$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.92 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 77c | 3,748$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 2,774$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 59c | 2,552$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 2,283$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 2,274$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 59c | 1,941$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.68 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…3578backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 60c | 1,662$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 79c | 1,297$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…078abacked Over | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 42c | 999.94$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 59c | 962.95$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 58c | 948.57$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.7 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 43c | 909.12$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 23c | 800$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 36c | 729.69$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 41c | 683$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 80c | 536.18$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…be02backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 443.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Under | 10c | 397.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Over | 60c | 332.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Under | 4c | 303.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 59c | 263.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Over | 59c | 262.71$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 252.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 59c | 244.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 44c | 227.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…07adbacked Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 14c | 176.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 59c | 170.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 58c | 167.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 58c | 129.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 11c | 120.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 59c | 115$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Over | 59c | 103.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 58c | 102.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 98.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Over | 59c | 88.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 58c | 85.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.