TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f56…f93c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST4647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100.22
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43
76ers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$73.78
Bucks vs. Bulls: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$96.96
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.59
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$51.12
Bucks vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33.98
Heat vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.02
Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$64.37
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$123.93
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$42.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+54.2%+$54.17
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33.97
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$56.52
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.58
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55.27
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+111.9%+$65.09
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs ChickenBurger - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.17
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.2%+$19.76
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41.55
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+127.6%+$41.24
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing - Map 2 Winnerbacked FengDa Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52.37
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.8%+$31.14
Counter-Strike: CyberDynamo vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65.41
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)backed Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+36.6%+$27.26
Counter-Strike: Team CS2NEWS vs Team buster - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team CS2NEWS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$45.34
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.58
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.04
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.62
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3)backed CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$56.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$39.21
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.91
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$43.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$62.28
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$33.98
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$46.13
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$75.11
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+68.7%+$189.04
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chelsea vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$49.74
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$56.3
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+203%+$119.32
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$232.28
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.11
FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23.58
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+82.1%+$53.89
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$113.26
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+136.7%+$31.03
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$79.54
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.97
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.38
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$155.06
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+39%+$63.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+80.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.03
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+153.5%+$76.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$81.31
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.