TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e6…025bbacked Over66c45,500$30,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,029.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under34c36,731$12,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,242.499455.3%52 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c11,416$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,945.793,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over64c3,919$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.513360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c3,252$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.521,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9503762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Under34c2,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Over66c2,400$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c2,027$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.682,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99027726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under34c1,400$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92456547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Over66c1,288$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c1,261$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.5275142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over51c1,227$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6265024%12 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under35c931.43$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.432142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over65c847.51$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.694252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under34c723$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.186154.1%33 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae4c…aa5bbacked Over60c600.35$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under36c554.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under34c549.22$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.982665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over65c543.4$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4713073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c525.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.385143.1%22 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf80…2ac8backed Over65c368.31$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under36c339.74$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over64c333.08$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6251136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over65c305.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over66c302.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953020%6 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over66c272.73$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806350.8%32 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.515024%36 W · 114 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over65c249.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.59350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over40c246.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.451747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under34c235.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2919544.6%87 W · 108 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over66c220$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.26053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under36c178.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4410040%40 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.769062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under35c166$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db7…3057backed Over66c137.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over62c131.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5610057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706142.6%26 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Over54c126.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under47c123.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under35c119.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.996460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2617930.2%54 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669062.2%56 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Over63c98.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Over66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over22c87.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325621.4%12 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over66c85.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under46c83.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over50c79.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.952227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under41c78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405952.5%31 W · 28 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over65c70.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8434655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over66c66.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.683966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under35c65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over50c60.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eba…f2fabacked Over64c46.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over65c46.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ad…cc15backed Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over64c41.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Over66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Over66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under34c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over65c34.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57867.9%53 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under46c34.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4210150.5%51 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Under37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6489…71ebbacked Under39c32.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…b56fbacked Over33c31.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Over57c31.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.