TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a9f…c2a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST7550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$352.51
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.3%+$124.56
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+91.9%+$77.99
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+69.1%+$21.39
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$272.77
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$281.54
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+101.8%+$203.51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$21.59
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100.8%+$50.41
Spread: Newcastle (-1.5)backed Newcastle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.