Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6b5797f7932b4ece2ea3ad322dea6ee52e709c4b1e5d5aaac5d210d94d2fa1

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Team WE
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3806…f4c4backed Team WE	5c	14,166$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.26	127	6.3%8 W · 119 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Team WE	0c	12,634$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Team WE	57c	12,503$7,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,118.75	287	46%132 W · 155 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	43c	11,703$5,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,670.75	1,630	40.1%654 W · 976 L	+48.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf85…1681backed Team WE	3c	5,117$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.17	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794e…4247backed Team WE	1c	3,463$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	75	0%0 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	64c	2,344$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.22	595	58.3%347 W · 248 L	-29.3wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team WE	44c	2,100$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.09	811	43.5%353 W · 458 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	76c	2,088$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.76	306	61.1%187 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	50c	1,577$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.74	1,259	37.6%473 W · 786 L	+34.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team WE	18c	1,516$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.14	428	40.2%172 W · 256 L	-32.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team WE	50c	1,492$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.76	245	29.8%73 W · 172 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Team WE	51c	1,338$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688	508	45.3%230 W · 278 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Team WE	10c	1,036$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.67	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team WE	46c	1,031$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.23	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Team WE	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Team WE	2c	923.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	840	41%344 W · 496 L	-38.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	59c	867.74$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.93	669	47.8%320 W · 349 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	44c	846.07$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.8	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	55c	756.4$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.38	1,021	48%490 W · 531 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE	42c	754.68$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.27	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Team WE	41c	656.49$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.16	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	53c	600$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282	505	47.7%241 W · 264 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	49c	560.63$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.63	226	54.4%123 W · 103 L	+20.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	545.85$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.3	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	51c	536.76$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.52	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Team WE	53c	531.21$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.54	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	124	44.4%55 W · 69 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	137	47.4%65 W · 72 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Team WE	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	176	6.3%11 W · 165 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	436.12$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.78	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	1,185	48.1%570 W · 615 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team WE	54c	378.35$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.6	135	43%58 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	314.95$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.98	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Team WE	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	218	19.3%42 W · 176 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	255.32$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.32	350	35.1%123 W · 227 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team WE	52c	250.51$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.3	1,155	68.1%786 W · 369 L	+35.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Team WE	9c	250$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team WE	53c	237.36$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.8	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team WE	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	295	36.9%109 W · 186 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c76…72e3backed Team WE	8c	180.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…501ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Team WE	53c	159$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.27	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team WE	35c	150.49$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	49c	145$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.45	237	42.2%100 W · 137 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Team WE	50c	143$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.35per pick	45cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team WE	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Team WE	53c	127.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.47	1,356	51.1%693 W · 663 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team WE	19c	125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	563	17.2%97 W · 466 L	-16.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Team WE	52c	117$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Team WE	53c	106$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.18	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9f…7482backed Team WE	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	840	50.1%421 W · 419 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team WE	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	236	24.6%58 W · 178 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…73e6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	57c	88.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.11	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	82.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.98	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	63c	72.49$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	+13.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…3b93backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	56c	66.53$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.23	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Team WE	53c	65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team WE	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	981	63.8%626 W · 355 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…3c2bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	46c	45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	50c	38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	46c	31.68$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee1…d302backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	62c	30.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team WE	40c	27.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	540	54.3%293 W · 247 L	+26.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b64…e425backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	56c	26.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	47c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	51c	25.73$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.61	182	55.5%101 W · 81 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Ninjas in Pyjamas	55c	22.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas	48c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event