TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea1c…73e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST7042.9%30 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+131%+$30.12
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+54.3%+$5.98
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+54.7%+$6.01
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+144.9%+$17.39
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.03
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.67
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+274.6%+$48.05
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST6055%33 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+45.2%+$19.38
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.14
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.2%+$7.3
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.65
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.73
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+43.6%+$5.41
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$54.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37.6%+$12.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+27%+$26.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35.3
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+47%+$30.04
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+91.9%+$34.81
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$28.29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.31
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$31.31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+321%+$84.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+41.8%+$11.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+84.6%+$14.46
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+183.8%+$32.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$62.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+28.9%+$7.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.49
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.5%+$11.31
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.1%+$13.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.2%+$12.57
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+46.3%+$12.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+106.5%+$14.92
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.63
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$15.83
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.79
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+300%+$41.25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$14.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$29.2
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$13.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+50%+$7.42
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+121.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$5.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$46.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.