Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6c0bc2ace9e73107983bc7ea745022537b25faa5d9837e33b77c0f95da4b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked Over | 80c | 4,012$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…3f29backed Under | 20c | 3,480$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed Under | 1c | 2,328$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 19c | 1,888$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.67 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Over | 78c | 1,514$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.57 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 24c | 1,110$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 25c | 613.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…4040backed Under | 22c | 612.64$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 76c | 611.69$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…4da8backed Over | 80c | 593.75$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Under | 23c | 589.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…478ebacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 77c | 400.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 25c | 310.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Under | 22c | 303.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Under | 20c | 149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Over | 80c | 109.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…a189backed Under | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 77c | 84.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 21c | 72.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…17aabacked Over | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…77dfbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 79c | 62.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 23c | 59.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…41f0backed Over | 77c | 59.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…8f4abacked Over | 78c | 41.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 80c | 38.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…450cbacked Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…12c6backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Over | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)LNG Esports won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerOh My God won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerOh My God won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.