TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x357e…2a0cbacked Under21c13,148$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.2212132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over79c12,973$10,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.2281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed Under2c4,720$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.637250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Under3c4,100$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe100…4d41backed Under16c2,707$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2513251.5%68 W · 64 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over59c2,203$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.746248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Under39c2,140$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.345764.9%37 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Under12c2,066$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0539239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…75a8backed Under16c2,000$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.931136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under14c1,480$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.941,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Under42c1,374$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4815545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Under22c1,300$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.991,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Under17c1,150$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.256147.5%29 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39030661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4307759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Under9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Under21c924.19$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.631,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Under43c799.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34450547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Under4c796.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8723915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Over57c772.09$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Over63c766.48$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6170752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Under15c669.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over39c620.81$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Over57c610$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.31,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over56c551.94$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7213543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under44c465.54$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3423547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over77c444.7$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.662763%17 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Under6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248643%37 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Under62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.991,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Under14c391.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5423341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Over57c350.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8522646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Over79c300$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebe…4f7fbacked Under11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over62c290.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5233736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Over66c271.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8716941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7b…8404backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.544335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Over56c238.95$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1450845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over80c221.83$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2454054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Over67c205.71$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5346153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Under18c201.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.996347.6%30 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8615341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb0…c4efbacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over55c176$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.242840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under45c176$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.210652.8%56 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under29c170.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493930.8%12 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Under12c169.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8922350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under44c121.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.921840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Over55c102.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Under44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.447154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4367549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Over78c90.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Under17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Under27c89.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4916934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under45c85.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.598438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1338335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over75c73.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.623557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b6…8b85backed Over57c71.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.757333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Under39c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.641743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under62c66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over72c58.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3839044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x516a…3b06backed Under37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Under37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Under31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515352.9%81 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc90…19efbacked Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Over70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8698163.8%626 W · 355 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3232952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.220550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Over56c35.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5611158.6%65 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Under45c35.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.845366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaba…8ae4backed Under35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under38c27.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Under61c25.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over48c23.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9818165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.