TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4047…7293

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,217
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT45848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 458 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$117
Will the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.25
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.92
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 4 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$851.75
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,066.56
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.22
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,883.71
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$181.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$856.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,829.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$469.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,461.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.55
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$235.17
Counter-Strike: M80 vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.42
Showing 25 of 458 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT23547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,925.92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,496.76
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$1,955.42
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.08
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$328.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$955.46
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$466.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$312.98
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.52
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$733.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,405.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$8,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,883.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+94.5%+$9,556.23
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.8%+$279.62
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20,385.41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,046.53
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+167.1%+$1,107.38
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,816.29
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,609.39
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,946.41
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.26
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,623.35
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,369.3
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT16050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$4,510.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$69.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+111%+$3,762.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$882.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12,755Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$42,700.35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.93
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$430.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$826
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8,542.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,311.34
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$2,551.61
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$14,326.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.42
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$641.8
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$646.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,703Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$11,409.91
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,616.08
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33%+$1,028.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.62
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$577.72
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.55
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Abacked Lost Puppies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.9
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,923.94
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$185.13
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$219.65
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.53
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$469.39
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,493.03
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,766.49
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.49
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.14
Valorant: ULF Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winnerbacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.66
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$601.5
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,400
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$253.99
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30,136.09
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$559.45
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$149.59
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+115.5%+$117.71
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700.49
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT6651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,310.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+753%+$673.55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$100
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$29.22
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19,932Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$7,877.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23,707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$25,394.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$16,032.22
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$1,190.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$34,131.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$758.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,929.18
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,735.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.42
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$807.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$206.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56,353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$15,984.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+102%+$605.28
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT4240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$99.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,766.49
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,648.41
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12,879.98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$2,500
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$160
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$128
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.99
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$164
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$71.99
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$249
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.29
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$122
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$13.5
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$68.99
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$74.02
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$184.99
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,056.6
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$610
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+170.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.49
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,178.97
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$130.36
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+213.2%+$1,861.15
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,818Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41%+$1,564.43
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+3,233.3%+$1,793.68
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+136%+$511.7
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.07
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,283.63
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+43%+$214.3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$164
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+110.8%+$736
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$16.46
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,200.8
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$509.96
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,099.99
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$305.5
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.8%+$238.66
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,978.35
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11,975.04
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$236.5
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,626.1
Kings vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,313
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$334
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-74.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.67
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$386.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,459.77
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.48
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,419.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,980.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,138.48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,478.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,934.45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,511.15
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$335.14
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.75
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.41
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.77
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,398.05
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$63.45
Will Viktoria Plzen win on 2025-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$1,302
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$913.86
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$463
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$580
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$287.52
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,848.44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,955.97
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+185.2%+$2,516.9
DeepSeek banned in US before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.73
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$37.36
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$612.96
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+566.7%+$69.56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$947.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$2,550
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,038.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+210.5%+$368.79
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.63
Will Solana dip to $130 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$55.86
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+153.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,450
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$4,559.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+172.3%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New Mexico (-3.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,040
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+99.6%+$785.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA beat Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$9.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$863.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$189
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,269.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.