Token Launches · resolved market
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb315c9af354537c361bb137e5a62be8d431999d8d8d7354de802a0e3cdbaa66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 66c | 19,268$12,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.1 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed No | 42c | 18,040$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 55c | 15,800$8,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed Yes | 45c | 14,507$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 57c | 6,553$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 30c | 6,542$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,329$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…4700backed Yes | 0c | 6,309$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 37c | 5,746$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.47 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…8a5fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,378$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,358$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,226$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…9553backed Yes | 39c | 3,891$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f2…f419backed Yes | 13c | 3,787$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…5a17backed Yes | 8c | 3,559$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 40c | 3,036$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…af7abacked No | 56c | 3,004$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,862$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…c9a9backed Yes | 22c | 2,797$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.94 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,691$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…5317backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…438bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,483$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.05 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,463$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked No | 63c | 2,462$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked Yes | 36c | 2,230$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009d…bcebbacked Yes | 48c | 2,150$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 55c | 2,118$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.05 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 63c | 2,051$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,048$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…5742backed Yes | 26c | 2,048$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 3c | 1,992$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 71c | 1,964$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…bb81backed Yes | 50c | 1,957$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…c958backed No | 79c | 1,602$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…4fb3backed No | 36c | 1,550$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.1 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,537$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6763backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…f23abacked Yes | 47c | 1,480$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed Yes | 43c | 1,375$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…869fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,327$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed No | 38c | 1,280$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 47c | 1,279$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 1,238$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 39c | 1,185$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.89 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…cefdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,165$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 25c | 1,145$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.29 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…7204backed Yes | 6c | 1,140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 57c | 1,117$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,109$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 39c | 1,090$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.09 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…0f8cbacked No | 14c | 1,078$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 4c | 1,073$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Yes | 53c | 1,060$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…5777backed Yes | 71c | 1,047$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,033$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…727fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,012$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…4df7backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…d994backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…8beabacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…ccf2backed Yes | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 6c | 992.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 48c | 962.21$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 958.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…f44ebacked Yes | 4c | 926.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed Yes | 15c | 899.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 13c | 887$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.04 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 44c | 877.21$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.09 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…64e8backed No | 46c | 867.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…0e31backed Yes | 35c | 842.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f18…c735backed No | 43c | 761.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked No | 44c | 759.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…a012backed No | 36c | 750$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…5e23backed Yes | 76c | 728$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…e055backed Yes | 16c | 724$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e56fbacked Yes | 6c | 714.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4da…5fa1backed Yes | 68c | 700$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…969ebacked No | 67c | 685.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 18c | 682.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.45 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…be9fbacked No | 58c | 672.19$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…2a1bbacked Yes | 40c | 668.23$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 45c | 659.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…7929backed No | 47c | 649.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed No | 77c | 648.31$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 7c | 645.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…4637backed No | 54c | 630$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 73c | 604.89$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.82 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…ae57backed Yes | 5c | 585.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…d2c3backed Yes | 62c | 564.63$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked Yes | 10c | 546.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.